Hence I felt it was a good time to take stock and analyse my trading performance.
Here are the stats below
By % gain/loss
<-10% | -5 to –9.9% | -0 to 4.9% | +0 to 4.9% | +5 to 9.9% |
Ferrochina $7200 5 lots buy $1.44 sell 1.30 loss $755 Loss 10.4% | Shorted Wilmar $10470 3 lots Sell 3.49 Buy 3.80 Loss $1048 Loss 9.15% | Sembcorp $8320 2 lots buy 4.16 sell 4.17 Loss $47 Loss 0.5% | Shorted Golden Agri $8400
Gain 3.86% | YZJ $4250 5 lots buy 0.85 sell 0.90 profit $218 gain 5% |
| | | COSCO $7480 2lots short 3.74 buy 3.65 profit $91 Gain 1.6% | First Resources $10300 10 lots buy 1.03 sell 1.10 profit $613 Gain 5.9% |
| | | Fibrechem $8050 10 lots buy 0.805 sell 0.815 profit $30 Gain 0.4% | |
| | | COSCO $6220 2 lots buy 3.11 sell 3.29 profit $300 Gain 4.9% | |
Quantum of gains/losses
Gains | Losses | ||||
$310 | $47 | ||||
$91 | $1,048 | ||||
$30 | $755 | ||||
$300 | |||||
$218 | |||||
$613 | |||||
$1,602 | |||||
$929 | |||||
$912 | |||||
Total | $5,005 | % | $1,850 | % | |
N | 9 | 75 | 3 | 25 | |
Average | $556.11 | $616.67 | |||
Net Profit | $3,155 |
Dollar Grouping | |||||
Gains | Losses | ||||
Range | Number | Range | Number | ||
Scratch under $100 | 2 | Scratch under $100 | 1 | ||
$200-$300 | 3 | $200-$300 | 0 | ||
$400 - $600 | 1 | $400-$600 | 0 | ||
$700-$900 | 2 | $700-$900 | 1 | ||
$1,000 | 0 | $1,000 | 1 | ||
$1,600 | 1 |
Trading analysis | ||||||||
Using multiples of $100 | ||||||||
Gains | Losses | |||||||
Payoff | Probability | Positive Expectancy | Payoff | Probability | Negative Expectancy | |||
1 to 1 | 3 | 0.333333333 | 0.333333333 | 1 to 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
2 to 1 | 1 | 0.111111111 | 0.222222222 | 2 to 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
4 to 1 | 1 | 0.111111111 | 0.444444444 | 4 to 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
8 to 1 | 1 | 0.111111111 | 0.888888889 | 8 to 1 | 1 | 0.111111111 | 0.888888889 | |
10 to 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 to 1 | 1 | 0.111111111 | 1.111111111 | |
16 to 1 | 1 | 0.111111111 | 1.777777778 | 16 to 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Total | 3.666666667 | 2 | ||||||
Net Expectancy | 1.666666667 | |||||||
Cyke's System | ||||||||
Expectancy | Opportunities over 10 weeks | Total | ||||||
$1.67 | 9 | $15.03 |
In summary
Trading analysis for Cyke over past 10 weeks
Expectancy = $1.67
Opportunities over 10 weeks = 9
Total = $15.03
Average gain per trade = $556.11
Average loss per trade = $616.67
% return on trading capital used over 10 weeks = 9.8%
% return on total trading capital available over 10 weeks = 6.87%
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